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Nixle alert: Advisory Message: Mark West Javelina. Go to www.nixle.com to receive the latest updates.
Hurricane Ingrid - 1100 AM Update for Sunday, Sep 15
Good Afternoon South Texas Emergency Managers, Media Partners, and
Spotters,…Ingrid will make landfall in Mexico on Monday…
As of 1100 AM CDT, Hurricane Ingrid had already begun to turn toward
the west-northwest and had weakened slightly. Ingrid was around 135
miles east of Tampico, Mexico or around 376 miles south-southeast of
Port Aransas. Ingrid is expected to make landfall Monday morning
just to the north of Tampico. Summary as of 1100 AM CDT Sunday, September 15, 2013…There are no tropical cyclone watches or warning in effect for
Texas……A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for the Middle
Texas Coast……A High Risk of Dangerous Rip Currents continues for the
Location: 22.5N, 95.8W
Max Winds: 75 mph
Movement: WNW at 6 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 990 mbSouth Texas Impacts:Tides and Rip Currents: At the time of high tide,
tidal levels will rise to 2 to 2.5 feet above Mean Sea Level (MSL)
along Gulf-facing beaches and barrier islands. This will be
sufficient to push water up to the dunes at the time of high tide.
The high tides at Port Aransas will occur at 249 AM and 1140 AM on
Dangerous rip currents will persist through Tuesday due to moderate
to strong easterly winds and long-period swells affecting the
coastal waters.Marine Conditions: Seas will continue to rise through
Monday to as high as 9 to 11 feet over the offshore waters. East
winds will average between 20 and 25 knots with higher gusts in
showers through Monday. As a result…a Small Craft Advisory
remains in effect for the coastal waters.Rainfall: Since Ingrid is expected to make landfall
well to our south, the rainfall amounts have diminished slightly.
Average rainfall amounts through Wednesday morning are expected to
be between 0.5 inch to 2 inches across South Texas with isolated
higher amounts possible.
Christi Contact Numbers: 888-579-9731 or
Hurricane Center: http://bit.ly/193wYB3
Corpus Christi: http://1.usa.gov/PvrlB9
Corpus Christi Facebook: http://on.fb.me/RmNHee
Corpus Christi Twitter: http://bit.ly/193wWZO
up for Weather Alerts:
http://1.usa.gov/14PMKhA out our new tropical page: http://1.usa.gov/1aaxU9M
Science & Operations Officer
NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Tropical Storm Ingrid - 8:00 AM Update
Good Morning South Texas Emergency Managers, Media Partners, and Spotters,
…A lot of uncertainty with the forecast for Tropical Storm Ingrid…
Storm Ingrid is currently located over the Bay of Campeche this
morning about 130 miles northeast of Veracruz Mexico, or 540 miles south southeast of Port Aransas, Texas. Â Ingrid is getting better organized and is now a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.Â Â Ingrid is forecast to become a minimal hurricane within 24 to 36 hours. Â Ingrid has started a slow northward motion of around 5 mph. Although landfall is still expected over eastern Mexico late Sunday Evening or early Monday, the forecast track has become less certain. There is an increasing spread in the model guidance with some models taking it into Mexico 100 miles south of Tampico, while others are 100 miles north of Tampico. Â If Ingrid takes a more southern track, we will have less rainfall and tidal impacts. Â A more northerly track will bring more rainfall and higher tides. Â See
below for more
Summary as of 7 AM …There are currently no tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect for Texas, none are anticipated at this time…
….However, a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for higher than normal tides…
Location: Â 20.3 N Â 94.5 W or about 130 miles northeast of Veracruz Mexico
Maximum Sustained Winds: Â 65 mph
Present Movement:Â North Northeast at 5 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 MB or 29.20 inches.Forecast:Ingrid is forecast to become a hurricane on Sunday afternoon, but could reach this sooner if the current satellite trends continue.Â Ingrid is
forecast to move slowly northward for the next 24 hours and then make a sharp left
turn toward the central Mexico coast late Sunday evening or early Monday morning.Â At this time, the NHC is forecasting the storm
to peak as a 80 mph Category 1 hurricane.Â
South Texas Impacts:Rainfall:Â Â The
main concern from Ingrid continues to be the potential for heavy rainfall
across South Texas and northeast Mexico. Widespread rainfall totals of 2
to 4 inches are possible over the inland areas of South Texas, with locally higher amounts over the coastal counties. Â These values could be lower if a more southerly track occurs. Â A Flash Flood Watch may be required by early next week for
portions or all of South Texas.
Tides and Rip Currents:Â A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in
effect through the weekend for most South Texas coastal locations. Â Water levels reached the dunes along the Padre Island National Seashore overnight during peak high tide, which occurred around 2AM CDT. Â Tide gauges showed the water level peaked at around 2 feet mean sea level (MSL). Â Tides are forecast to peak around 2 feet MSL again tonight during peak high tide, which is scheduled for 2:23 AM. Â At this time, only minor rises
are expected along area bays.Â
There is also High Risk for rip currents
along South Texas
beaches through early next week. Â Dangerous rip currents are expected
along the gulf facing beaches. The strength and frequency of these rip
currents will result in surf that is dangerous for all levels of
Marine Conditions: Â Deteriorating marine conditions can be expected over the Gulf Waters beginning on Sunday and continuing through at least Tuesday.Â A long east southeast fetch will produce waves between 8 and 9 feet over the offshore waters.Â Winds will also increase to 20 knots, with gusts to 25 knots at times. Â These values could increase slightly if a more northerly track occurs. Â A small craft advisory will most likely be needed on Sunday.
Considering that we have reached the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, it is important to double check your hurricane
preparedness plans. Ensure you are ready if and when a storm threatens your
location.Â Check our Hurricane Guide
for more information.Â Â
Additional Information Resources:
NWS Corpus Christi Contact Numbers:Â 888-579-9731
Hurricane Center:Â http://bit.ly/1a4HVaW Rainfall Totals: http://1.usa.gov/QubQ3J
Corpus Christi:Â http://1.usa.gov/PvrlB9
Corpus Christi Facebook: http://on.fb.me/RmNHee Corpus Christi Twitter:Â NWSCorpusSign up for Weather Alerts:Â http://1.usa.gov/14PMKhA out our new tropical page: Â http://1.usa.gov/18gujJ6
Texas residents will need to monitor this system closely over the next
several days, and be prepared to act if the threat increases. Â
NWS Corpus Christi, TX